ATR Sees Demand For 2,100 New Turboprops By 2044

From left: ATR head of communications and corporate branding Lamberto Martellino; ATR CEO Nathalie Tarnaud Laude; and ATR CCO Alexis Vidal.

From left: ATR head of communications and corporate branding Lamberto Martellino; ATR CEO Nathalie Tarnaud Laude; and ATR CCO Alexis Vidal.

Credit: Victoria Moores/ATW

Turboprop manufacturer ATR released its latest 20-year forecast at the Paris Air Show, predicting that 2,585 turboprops will be in service by 2044. This will comprise 880 additional aircraft, 1,100 replacements and 605 still in service from the existing fleet, which currently totals 1,650 aircraft.

ATR chief commercial officer Alexis Vidal said ATR typically updates its long-term forecast every two to three years.

In 2022, ATR predicted demand for 2,450 new aircraft, but this has since dropped to 2,100. This is because the overall in-service turboprop fleet has reduced, despite ATR’s numbers rising. Vidal added that the airframer is also being “realistic” about the impact of ongoing supply chain issues.

The 2,100 new turboprops comprise 1,690 70-seaters and 410 50-seaters over the next 20 years. Of these, 255 will be destined for North America, 200 for Latin America, 360 for Europe, 240 for the Middle East and Africa, 210 for India and 835 for Asia.

ATR has broken out India in its forecast, because of the country’s rapid growth and its incentive schemes, which aim to make air travel more accessible to all.

“India has the potential to be the largest ATR market in world over the next three to four years,” Vidal said, noting that two or three new ATR operators are expected to come on board over that timeframe.

victoria.moores@informa.com

Victoria Moores

Victoria Moores joined Air Transport World as our London-based European Editor/Bureau Chief on 18 June 2012. Victoria has nearly 20 years’ aviation industry experience, spanning airline ground operations, analytical, journalism and communications roles.

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