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NBAA 2005: AIRCRAFT
    
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Light and Very Light Jets

The impact of the new generation of light and very light jets will not be felt fully at this year's Convention — it already was experienced at Oshkosh in July, where an event still associated in many minds with amateur builders and piston engines seemed, at times, to be taking on the appearance of a dress rehearsal for NBAA. The Adam A700, Beechcraft Premier, Cessna Mustang, Eclipse 500, HondaJet, TAM-AIR Epic Jet and Viper Jet all craved the attention of a new market, the bounds of which have yet to be fully defined. Suffice it to say that the fastest-growing sector in what used to be business jet aviation is now dominated by the owner-pilot. Airport fence-hangers expecting an arriving twinjet to disembark uniformed flight crew and a suited CEO could be surprised to see an open-necked family man and even more bemused by the epoxy resin still (figuratively, at least) under his fingernails. Alternatively, the new breed of owner could be flying to a business meting in a carbon fiber jet looking like a modern fighter; or even one that began life wearing a swastika.

Adam A700

Establishing a trend for parallel production of turboprop and turbofan versions of the same basic design, Adam flew the A700 in July 2003, at which time only two prototypes of its A500 were undergoing trials. Commonality of carbon fiber airframe between the two involves wings, tailbooms, tailplane, fins, cockpit and landing gear, although the mainplanes are strengthened by a thicker spar. A second aircraft was built in the fall 2005 using a set of A500 production parts, new center-rear fuselage and a pair of shoulder-mounted Williams FJ33-4A engines, each rated at 1,200-pounds-thrust.

Accommodation is provided for two pilots, four passengers and either a lavatory or a further two persons. Cross section is 4 ft, 6 in wide and 4 ft, 3 in high, the total cabin length being 16 feet. The A700 comes with Avidyne Entegra three-screen cockpit and appropriate trimmings at a cost of $2.1 million. Adam has 50 orders from owner-operators, but will not disclose how many businesses are committed to the airplane, save that it hopes to build 10 per month after deliveries begin late in 2006. Projected cruising speed is 391 mph, while range is 1,670 miles plus 30-minute VFR reserves, and ceiling is 41,000 ft. Long range and a disincentive to the omission of "three greens" landing checks are jointly achieved by augmenting the A500's wing tankage by 130 gallons in a bulged belly stowage.

Verdict: Very likely

Aerocomp CA-J Comp Air Jet

It used to be said of the likes of this eight-seat jet that, "If you have to ask the price, then you can't afford it." Now, if you can afford the time to build a business jet yourself, you're probably not paying enough attention to your business. However, those with $499,000 and the available time can obtain a CA-J kit, complete with refurbished 3,800-pounds-thrust ZMKB Progress AI-25TL turbofan, and spend the next eight months completing 51% of the carbonfiber airplane to qualify for Experimental Category flying. With avionics and all the available extras, the eventual outlay will be up to $866,000, for which the builder gets 368 mph cruising, 1,200-mile range and a 30,000-foot ceiling — albeit with a 10,000-foot cabin altitude. Cabin is 5 ft, 10 in high, and all but two inches as wide, while those wary of Russian engines (recalling a very lucky dead-stick landing en route to Oshkosh this year) might avail themselves of the more expensive P&W JT12-8 or CJ610 options. In Aerocomp's own words, "A 'poor' man's corporate jet".

Verdict: Don't hold your breath

Aerostar FJ-100

When Aerostar Aircraft Corp. VP Jim Christy said recently that the company "is not in any hurry to get the aircraft flying" he was not kidding. A Smith/Piper Aerostar with a clean wing, cruciform empennage and pair of 1,200-pounds-thrust Williams FJ33-1 turbofans bolted to the fuselage shoulders was a good idea in 2000, when Show News reported the start of a quest for $40 million development money. Despite 25 order commitments at the time, plus several false dawns and a wait-and-see policy on the threat posed by the Eclipse 500, the company has been — at least until lately — concentrating more on keeping existing examples of the near-cult status Aerostar flying. Now, however, a decision between the FJ33 and rival PW610F is promised imminently, implying that the company just may be prepared to use its own financial resources to launch the FJ-100, either as new-build or a conversion of existing airframes. With eight seats and a still-to-be-decided glass cockpit, the airplane would offer 477 mph cruising and 1,726-mile NBAA range.

Verdict: Slim chance

ATG-1B Javelin Mk 10

Aviation Technology Group is promoting the Javelin for both civil and military applications, including light 'homeland defense) fighter, advanced trainer and unmanned air vehicle, development of the trainer and armed version being entrusted to Israel Aircraft Industries. The Mk 10 is intended for the owner-pilot and had picked up 75 deposits by earlier this year.

Of convincing fighter-like appearance, including Martin-Baker Mk 16 ejection seats in the prototype, the ATG-1B differs in several detailed respects from the project first announced early in 2001. A major step forward was the prototype's maiden flight, conducted as recently as September 30 this year and reflecting a four-month delay (due to a nosewheel shimmy) which is likely to see FAA Part 23 certification pushed into early 2008. Annual production is planned as 10 in the first year and 120 by the third. With Avidyne FlightMax Entegra two-screen avionics and two 1,700-pounds-thrust Williams FJ33-4-17M turbofans included in the $2,795,000 price, the tandem-seat, aluminum aircraft is intended to cruise at 0.9 Mach for 955 miles — or 1,404 at a more economic rate. Ceiling is 45,000 feet, the initial levels of which are transited at 10,000 feet/minute. Owners wanting more than the permitted +6/-3g maneuvering are advised to trade up to an F-16.

Verdict: The jury's out

Avcen Jetpod

Based in England, where it receives support from the London Mayor's office and European Community, Avcen has been developing an airborne intra-city and private jet transport since 1998. Doing just what it says on the side, Jetpod is a utilitarian pod-shaped fuselage with rear clamshell doors suspended beneath a uniquely shaped wing and T-tail, propelled by two turbofans each of around 2,800-pounds-thrust. Intended to be 50% quieter than comparable systems, the aircraft has coined for itself the new genre of VQ-STOL (very quiet short takeoff and landing), with the two last-mentioned distances both being 410 feet, despite a 350 mph cruising speed. A 700-pound disposable load (excluding pilot) allows the Jetpod to carry four passengers at an hourly operating cost of $625 per hour, taking into account fuel, pilot, MRO, insurance and finance. Avcen sees the Jetpod as the 21st Century's London Black Cab, ferrying commuters to their offices from depots on the city outskirts. The personal transport version "has a range of 925 miles for trips to the country. EASA certification will take four years, but a starting date for converting Jetpod to hardware has not yet been announced.

Verdict: Slim chance

Beechcraft 390 Premier IA

In February, Raytheon Aircraft completed the 102nd Premier as the demonstrator for the new Premier IA, although the aircraft was not announced until it made its debut at EBACE Geneva in May. A totally redesigned interior, modeled after the Hawker 800XP cabin, includes a new, higher, contoured cabin headliner and repositioned passenger reading lights. Seats have also been completely restyled and a new seat base contouring introduced to give more foot room for fifth and sixth seat occupants.

The Premier IA's flight deck incorporates Rockwell Collins Integrated Flight Information Systems (IFIS) into the existing Pro Line 21 avionics suite, adding a third display. This offers pilots a wide range of safety- and situational-enhancing information, including map overlays (airways, airspace, geopolitical) as standard features. Formerly additional avionics and cockpit upgrades are now standard, while there is now also an on-demand lift-dump control for improved landing performance; better anti-skid system; improved soundproofing; and lowered landing reference speeds. Original high cruising speed of 519 mph and 1,668-mile max-fuel range are maintained. Priced in the region of $5.5 million, the A Series Premier is now available.

Verdict: It's here

Cessna 510 Citation Mustang

The inevitable announcement of Cessna's entry to the VLJ market came here at Orlando in September 2002. The Mustang combines a scaled-down Sovereign wing and the T-tail of more recent company designs with a new fuselage providing room for two pilots and a club-four arrangement of passengers, plus 45 cu ft of baggage. Passenger accommodation is 4 ft, 6 in high and an inch wider, with a total cockpit-cabin length of 14 ft, 6 in. The prototype flew on April 23 this year, being joined four months later by the first production airplane. Full series manufacture is now getting under way at Independence, Kan., where Cessna's piston-props are built.

For a fraction under $3 million 2002 dollars, the first of 240-plus customers already signed-up will begin taking delivery of their aircraft following certification in the final quarter of next year. With two PW615F turbofans of 1,350-pounds-thrust each, the all-metal Mustang offers maximum range of 1,500 miles with VFR reserves of 45 minutes with full tanks, pilot and a 600-pound payload. Typical cruising would be 390 mph at 35,000 feet, with the option of climbing to 41,000 feet. A Garmin G1000 three-screen instrument panel is standard.

Verdict: Very likely

Cessna 525 Citation CJ1+

Delivered from 1993 onwards, the five-seat CJ1 was already undergoing a facelift when Cessna announced the $4,095,000 CJ1+ at last year's NBAA Convention in Las Vegas. Compared to its progenitor, the CJ1+ has 17 former options as standard, plus 10 new features. These include a copilot PFD, integrated flight management system, broadcast graphical weather, Skywatch HP TCAS I and Landmark TAWS. In addition to an expanded standard features equipment list, the CJ1+ is also equipped with many additional features previously not available on the CJ1, such as integrated avionics, FMS performance database, electronic checklist and a maintenance diagnostic system.

Powered by FADEC-controlled -1AP versions of the Williams FJ44 turbofan, the CJ1+ offers another 100 pounds of max takeoff weight, upping the pilot-plus-full-fuel disposable load to 690 pounds. Despite that, it is 13 mph faster at 31,000 feet optimum cruising height and can reach its 41,000 feet ceiling in 32 minutes— almost twice as fast. IFR range with four-up is 1,479 miles. FAA certification was awarded on June 17, 2005, and first deliveries are imminent.

Verdict: It's here

Cessna 525A Citation CJ2+

Only four years after customers began receiving their CJ2s, representing nearly three feet of fuselage stretch to the CJ1, the CJ2+ was revealed at Las Vegas last October, making its first flight on April 2, 2005. Following a concentrated flight trials program, the FAA cleared the aircraft for customers' use by issuing a Type Certificate on October 12.

As with CJ1 to CJ1+ upgrade, 17 options have become standard and 10 new features added. CJ1+, CJ2+ and CJ3 are built on a common assembly line and share nearly identical Collins Pro Line 21 avionics, including a trio of 8 x 10-inch liquid crystal displays. The copilot's primary flight display with second air data computer is standard equipment and will meet RVSM requirements. Other integrated avionics include a file server system with cursor control panel and enhanced map overlays, Navigation, and Surveillance (CNS) radios and Collins FMS-3000 with performance database. CJ2+ is equipped with standard broadcast graphical weather including Next Generation Doppler Radar (NEXRAD) information, Meteorological Terminal Aviation Routine Weather Report (METARs) and textual Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF).

Although with unchanged rating of 2,400-pounds-thrust, the FADEC'd Williams FJ44-3A-24 turbofans allow the aircraft to carry 300 pounds more payload. Remaining performance data are similar to the CJ2, including four-passenger NBAA range of 1,784 miles.                       

Verdict: It's here

Cessna 525B Citation CJ3

A CJ3 mockup was unveiled at Orlando three years ago and the real thing was here a year later, having flown in April 2003. On October 15, 2004 the FAA signed-off the Type Certificate, the first customer delivery taking place on Dec. 1, at which time some 130 were on order at cost of $6.2 million each.

The CJ3 is of traditional Cessna all-metal construction, with T-tail and two rear-mounted turbofans—in this case, 2,400-pounds-thrust Williams FJ44-3As. Like the CJ2 it normally seats two pilots and six passengers, but with two feet of fuselage stretch to allow additional space for a lavatory opposite the baggage area in consideration of its two-pilot-and-four-passenger, 2,158-mile NBAA range. Nevertheless, the CJ3 is certified for single-pilot operation and has a maximum cruising speed of 480 mph at 33,000 feet. Service ceiling is 45,000 feet and the takeoff weight is 13,870 pounds. Avionics are as specified for the "Plus" versions of the CJ1 and CJ2, although a CJ3+ may, even now, be taking shape on the drawing boards at Wichita.

Verdict: It's here

 

Diamond D-Jet

This Austrian company has progressed from powered sailplanes to four-seat twin-props via the popular Katana, always employing composite materials. In January 2003, it revealed basic details of its D-Jet, a two-plus-three-seater powered by a single, 1,400-pounds-thrust Williams FJ33-4 fed from a pair of wingroot intakes. Unit cost target in 2003 money is just over $1 million. D-Jet will reach cruising height in just eight minutes, but only because its maximum certified altitude will be just 25,000 feet, with an 8,000-feet equivalent in the (4 ft, 10 in square section) cabin. First flight is almost a year behind schedule but reported to be imminent, suggesting certification and delivery in 2008. North America's needs will be satisfied by Canadian assembly alongside Diamond lightplanes, this model distinguished by additional fuel and greater max weight than the European version, allowing the former a range of 1,555 miles with a 5,071 pounds take-off weight. Long-range cruise is 276 mph, increasing to 362 mph for shorter distances. Garmin G1000 avionics, including three-screen display, were named for the D-Jet this summer, while a ballistic recovery parachute is under consideration as a safety measure.

Verdict: Getting there

    

Eclipse 500

Eclipse Aviation has recently been burning the midnight oil to get back onto its flight test schedule after a gear-up landing by one of the function and reliability test aircraft but, overall, the Eclipse program has been a model of on-target achievement of development milestones since it dropped the prototype's Williams engines and bolted a pair of 900-pounds-thrust PW610Fs to the rear fuselage. Mounting six seats, including pilot, the 500 sells for around $1.5 million in today's money, although Eclipse prefers to say $1.295 million in 2000 dollars. Whatever; that's about a quarter of what a comparable aircraft would cost and a tribute to rigorous cost control, for having declined composites as unsuited to mass production, Eclipse has gone with the more labor-intensive aluminum airframe and some advanced welding techniques.

Already, 2,200 Eclipse jets are on order — with six prototype and development aircraft having flown to date. Eclipse is expected to announce its 750th airborne test hour at the Convention this week and hopes to fly enough hours to achieve certification by the previous target date of March 31, 2006. Soon after, first customers will receive the benefit of 432 mph cruising at up to 41,000 feet and 1,473-mile NBAA range. Other notable features include Avio's Total Aircraft Integration avionics, which provide centralized control of all aircraft systems via three large screens on the instrument panel; and the innovative PhostrEx fire-suppression system. An optional JetComplete package for those potential owners discouraged by aviation's plethora of paperwork covers everything from arranging airplane maintenance to remembering to pay the insurance and hangar rental on time.

Verdict: Very likely

Embraer LJ and VLJ

Last May, Embraer launched a two-pronged assault on a predicted world market for 3,000 light jets and entry-level very light jets over the next 10 years and is spending $235 million on developing two related designs. For optimum customer appeal, the Brazilian company has engaged BMW Group DesignworksUSA to configure the interiors, including "flight deck seamlessly integrated with the cabin" and "serene" furnishings, to attract the owner-operator. As largest of the pair, with two 3,200-pounds-thrust PW353E turbofans at the rear, the LJ accommodates nine, of which six can be carried over 2,070 miles NBAA range at 0.78 Mach at 45,000 feet. Certification of the $6.65 million airplane is programmed for mid-2009.

A year earlier, Embraer plans to have the VLJ available, priced at $2.75 million and with a possible eight seats. Powered by a pair of 1,615-pounds-thrust PW617Fs, it will transport a complement of four over 1,445 miles NBAA range at 0.7 Mach and 41,000 feet maximum altitude. Like the LJ, it will be optimized for takeoff from shorter airfields.

Embraer has hinted that it is planning a family of larger business jets to fill the gap between the LJ/VLJ and its existing airliner-based Legacy.

Verdict: The jury's out

Evation Jets EV-20 Vantage

Now on its third designation, what began life on the Scaled Composites drawing board as the Model 247-7 was transferred to VisionAire for development as the six-seat VA-10 Vantage. With forward-swept wings at mid-fuselage, the composites aircraft was unusual for its class in having a single turbofan, but it was the need for extensive aerodynamic and weight-reduction work that forced VisionAire to close its doors and allowed Evation to pick up the whole program at a bankrupt sale.

The prototype VA-10, which flew in 1996, is now in Brazil being reengineered as the first EV-20, mounting two 2,100-pounds-thrust Williams FJ44-1APs on the rear fuselage shoulders, freeing-up inside space for an extra four seats. First flight is scheduled for February 2006, with Brazilian (and automatic FAA) certification expected the following year. Preliminary data indicate a 491 mph cruise speed and 1,380-mile NBAA range. Cost, including an as-yet unspecified "glass cockpit" will be $2.5 million. Evation wants to build a family of business jets, but the VA/EV-10 will not be one of them.

Verdict: Don't hold your breath

Excel-Jet Sport-Jet

Conducting its taxiing tests as this feature was being prepared, the Sport-Jet is a four/five-seater intended for the private owner/operator, developed by the team responsible for the Maverick Leader. Priced at around $1 million, the T-tailed Sport-Jet is powered by a single Williams FJ33-4A turbofan rated at 1,500-pounds-thrust, which gives it a 391 mph cruising speed and 25,000-foot ceiling. The carbon composites fuselage accommodates four — and optionally five — occupants in a cabin 4 ft, 11 in wide, 3 ft, 11 in high and 7 ft, 11 in long. IFR range with four aboard is 1,000 miles.

Verdict: Slim chance

Grob G 180 SPn

Perhaps the biggest surprise at this year's Paris Air Show was the previously unannounced utility jet prototype standing outside the chalet of Grob Aerospace. Its designation indicating exponential possibilities to the nth degree, the SPn is aimed at the market now dominated by the turboprop Beechcraft King Air. Accordingly, while it can carry 10 persons, including single pilot, the seats and lavatory can be stripped out in an hour and general cargo loaded through the wide door and flown to a 3,000-foot semi-prepared strip that the reinforced landing gear can take in its stride.

Having apparently leapfrogged the turboprop G 140 and G 160 in Grob's development pecking-order, the G 180 flew a month after the Paris show, on July 20, and is due to be joined by a second prototype next March, ahead of EASA certification in 1Q2007. The company estimates it will sell 400 of the $7.1 million, carbonfiber airplanes over the next 10 years and is scheming a long-winged, stretched-fuselage derivative for high altitude surveillance and communications relay. Planned 2007 production of 15 is already sold out and Grob is intending to ramp up to 40 in 2009.

Power comes from two 2,800-pounds-thrust Williams FJ44-3As, enabling the SPn to cruise at a maximum 468 mph at 33,000 feet, or transport pilot and six passengers over an NBAA range of 2,070 miles, reducing to 1,472 miles for a max-weight departure.

Verdict: Getting there

Honda HA-420 HondaJet

Two years after the HA-420's maiden flight, Honda is still coy regarding its plans for aviation in general and the HondaJet in particular. Developed in secret, the aircraft finally made its public debut at Oshkosh in July, having then accumulated 156 hours of testing. Honda says the HA-420 demonstrates the company's "long-standing dream for (personal) aviation: high speed, fuel efficiency and large cabin"—not to mention the two 1,670-pounds-thrust Honda HF118 turbofans which provide power, managed by a Honda FADEC.

A "clean sheet" design, HondaJet has a high proportion of composites in the fuselage, but with aluminum wing and empennage. Wing and nose profiles are optimized for laminar flow, while mounting of the engines on overwing pylons simplifies fuselage structure and aerodynamics. So far, the aircraft has demonstrated 43,000-foot altitude and 452 mph, although 483 mph is expected to be achieved eventually. A decade ago Honda developed the MH02 twinjet as a similar exercise before abandoning it. For the moment the MH-420 is viewed by its makers as development vehicle and "there is no business plan for the airplane." Western skepticism at that may be a cultural inability to accept the Japanese willingness to invest so heavily in pure R&D.

Verdict: The jury's out

Maverick Leader

In 2002, Maverick Jets Inc re-named the kitbuilt Twinjet 1200 as Leader to indicate the company's status as "First to fly a twin engine personal jet; first to develop and fly small light weight low thrust twin jet engines on a personal jet; first to fly, sell and deliver twin engine personal jets worldwide; first and still the only company to have multiple personal jets flying today; first and only major personal jet company to be debt-free; first and the only company still flying, selling and delivering personal jets worldwide."

Powered by two 1,100-pounds-thrust Williams FJ33-4 turbofans, the prototype Leader flew in August 1999. It crashed in January 2003, killing the test pilot. In January 2004, TAM (Tbilaviamsheni), an aircraft manufacturer in the former Soviet state of Georgia, summarily cancelled an agreement to build Leader kits and no replacement is known to have been appointed. Despite endorsement by the legendary Bob Hoover, only one other example besides the prototype is believed to be on the current N-register.

Verdict: Slim chance

Me 262 Project Messerschmitt 262

Based at Paine Field, Everett, the enthusiasts running this venture offer the discerning owner-pilot the ultimate in personal jets. It comes complete with a pair of reliable 2,850-pounds-thrust GE CJ610s as replacements for the potentially lethal Jumo 109-004 turbojets of yore — which could induce a fatal yaw in the all-too-frequent case of take-off failure. Otherwise, the World War II Sturmvogel is a reverse-engineered replica of the revolutionary German jet with only safety-mandated changes from the original, even to the extent of a cast Jumo 004 shape covering the top of the smaller CJ610s (soft-throttle-stopped at 1,800-pounds-thrust for authenticity) when inspection hatches are opened. The first of five replicas flew in December 2002, but the test program was delayed by a heavy landing which required lengthy repairs to the two-seat variant. A second, in single-seat form, flew on August 15 this year and has been dispatched to the Messerschmitt Foundation in Germany. Of the remaining three offered for sale, one is a tandem-seater and the others can be in either configuration.

Verdict: Don't hold your breath

Sino-Swearingen SJ30-2

And the first shall be last . . . or, at least, somewhere in the middle. Ten years after Taiwanese funding launched Ed Swearingen's promising light jet — and 19 years after the SA-30 Fanjet project was first announced, to come briefly under the Gulfstream banner — the aircraft has lost its commanding market lead, although the first customer machine is finally taking shape on the San Antonio assembly line. The flight test fleet was raised to three in March this year, when No. 005 took to the air, while on Sept. 6 the company announced that No. 003 had completed its FAA test schedule. Type certification is expected any day.

For all that lost time, the SJ30 still has valuable selling points, not the least of which is (thanks to chemically milled fuselage skins taking 12 lb/sq in pressurization) sea level cabin pressure at 41,000 feet, falling away to a hardly-gasping-for-breath 1,800 feet at the FL 490 ceiling. Furthermore, on the 2,300-pounds-thrust each of Williams FJ44-2A turbofans, the airplane turns in a very useful 2,875 mile range while cruising at 0.78 Mach on less than 95 gallons per hour. Maximum cruising speed is a 0.83 Mach. Accommodation is for seven in a cabin 4 ft, 3 in high and five inches wider, while certification is to be for single-pilot operation with Honeywell Primus Epic avionics suite.

Verdict: Getting there

TAM-AIR Epic Jet

The Aircraft Investor Resources Epic LT turboprop had hardly made its initial flight before Epic Aircraft announced a joint program with Tbilisi Aerospace Manufacturing (TAM) to mate a pair of turbofans to the airframe and create a $2 million ($1.6 million build-it-yourself option) VLJ. A mockup was unveiled at Oshkosh this year and the prototype was then on track to fly before this NBAA Convention. The certified version is to be available in late 2006/early 2007, mounting Garmin G1000 avionics and, if Williams or an alternative will supply them, 1,800-pounds-thrust engines to replace the interim 1,560-pounds-thrust installations. The seven-seater will then be able to meet AIR's "full fuel, full speed, full distance" pledge, already given for the turboprop, and deliver 483 mph and 1,611 miles, taking 15 minutes to reach its 41,000-foot ceiling. Parallel production lines in the United States and the former Soviet state of Georgia will satisfy different market areas, with TAM having free range outside North America. The first two certified Epic Jets were sold on July 26 to a European operator, while six existing LT customers have bought a Jet as well.

Verdict: The jury's out

Viper ViperJet

Created from a piston-engined design launched in 1988, ViperJet flew in 1999, but its promotion was slowed by an accident in March 2002. The rebuilt prototype returned to the air on June 12 this year, designated Mk II, although kit manufacture of this carbonfiber machine has been under way for some time. Meeting FAA aerobatic strength requirements in spite of its uncertified status, the tandem-seat airplane will cruise at between 460-520 mph at 25,000 feet and offers a range of more than 920 miles, not including a 45-minute reserve. Cost: $201,740 for the kit; $6,000 interior trimmings; $25,000 an ex-military GE J85 of 2,950-pounds-thrust; $as-much-as-you-like for avionics; $? for builder-assistance program.

Verdict: Slim chance

Midsize

The centre of the market is no longer the centre of the action. Recent developments in the midsize arena are limited to the maiden flights of two previously announced aircraft; a "tweak" to the Falcon 900; and one clean-sheet design which may not happen and nobody will own-up to. As for larger sizes, no heads have appeared over the parapet since the last NBAA Convention, nor are expected to do so . . . unless the Brazilians have brought some beans to spill.

Dassault Falcon 900DX

Announced at EBACE Geneva in May 2004, this replacement for the Falcon 900C features the Falcon 900EX's larger cabin, more efficient 5,000-pounds-thrust Honeywell TFE731-60 engines and Dassault EASy flight deck, but is $3 million cheaper. Furthermore, some structures have been lightened and systems upgraded. Despite fuel capacity being slightly reduced, it possesses a handy range of 4,718 miles: typically, New York-Athens. Costs include a purchase price (2004) of $31.65 million and operating expenses five per cent less than that of Falcon 900C. Initial cruising altitude is 41,000 feet; time to climb to FL370, 17 minutes; balanced field length, 4,890 feet. The prototype flew on May 13 this year. Certification and first deliveries scheduled for next month, allowing the aircraft to take up its position in the range comparison tables between the Falcons 2000EX and 900EX.

Verdict: Very likely

 

Dassault Falcon 7X

By late September, three prototypes of this next-generation Falcon Jet were test flying, the first having conducted its maiden flight on May 5 this year and appearing at the Paris Air Show in June. By that time, 55 were on order at an average unit cost of $36 million. While superficially following the Dassault tri-jet formula — in this instance with 6,100-pounds-thrust PW307A turbofans — the 7X has a cabin 20% longer, redesigned nose, double-curved windscreen panels and an entirely new high-subsonic section wing with 20% fewer parts, 5 degrees more sweepback, 40% more area and full-span, two-section leading-edge slats. This wing design will be employed on future developments within the Falcon range. As for the flight control system, the prototype's registration (F-WFBW) is no coincidence, as the cockpit sidesticks confirm.

A typical internal arrangement will provide three lounge areas, berthing capability for six passengers, lavatories, galleys, crew rest area and a large flight-accessible baggage compartment. Cabin altitude is 6,000 feet at high flight levels, while internal noise level target is 52 dB. Honeywell provides the Primus Epic avionics, with the now regular EASy interface. NBAA range at Mach 0.8 will be 6,560 miles with three crew and eight passengers, although the aircraft's maximum operating Mach number will be 0.9 and its certified altitude 51,000 feet. Balanced field length with 11 aboard is 5,200 feet. Cabin is a comfortable 6 ft, 2 in high, up to 7 ft, 8 in wide and 36 feet from flight deck to baggage. Certification is due at the end of next year, and with production already booked to 2009 Dassault has upped the monthly rate target from 2.5 to three aircraft.

Verdict: Very likely

Gulfstream G150

A successor to the G100 (aka IAI Astra) was announced at Orlando's NBAA Convention in September 2002 on the strength of a block order for 50 from NetJets. Again, the responsibility of Israel Aircraft Industries, it is a wide-cabin update of the G100, offering 12 inches extra width and two inches more height to the occupants; and G200-style windows for flight crew and passengers. Two crew and eight passengers represent maximum loading, the more usual being four seats in club pairs at the forward end of cabin with two forward-facing seats at the rear.

Two 4,400-pounds-thrust Honeywell TFE731-40AR turbofans have replaced lower-power engines to offset increased weights, leaving speed and range much as before. There are also Rockwell Collins Pro Line 21 avionics, digital steer-by-wire nosewheel steering and two-position speedbrakes with automatic ground spoiler function. Price is $13.5 million at 2003 values. After a one-year program slip, the prototype flew on May 3 this year and a second machine joined it on September 2, the pair working towards certification in the first quarter of 2006.

Verdict: Very likely

Piaggio?

Older aviation journalists, robbed of the opportunity in recent years to speculate on the originating design bureau of mysterious new shapes photographed overflying Red Square, were thrilled earlier this year when an anonymous shape again stimulated the thrill of the chase. Forecast International, the market research organization, sounded the Tally-ho! on this occasion, having been commissioned by an undisclosed manufacturer to test the market response to a twin-turbofan design with at least two fuselage lengths, corresponding approximately to medium and light-medium business jet sizes.

Italy's Piaggio has been hunted-down as the most likely originator, but has gone to ground and is saying nothing for the moment. Speculation is that the shorter version could be first onto the field, and with eight seats, two 4,600-pounds-thrust engines and 2,646-mile range it should give the Cessna Citation XLS and Learjet 45XR a good run for their money (the money in this case being $11 million per copy) by virtue of shorter balanced field length, faster climb and speed (0.8 Mach), bigger cabin and longer range. The larger 10-seater — $13 million or thereabouts — is expected to prey on the Citation Sovereign and Hawker Horizon, while a six-place model with smaller engines has also been noted in cover.

Verdict: The jury's not even sworn in

Supersonics

Supersonic business jet (SBJ) programs are like busses: you see none for years and then two come along at once. Last year was one such occasion, the Las Vegas NBAA Convention witnessing the public launch of projects by Aerion and SAI. It will be interesting so see how they have progressed in the interim. In addition, Gulfstream has a position to maintain as a leading business jet manufacturer and though we have seen fanciful wing shapes associated with its SBJ studies in past editions of Show News, the trail appears to have gone cold.

Nor must be forgotten Sukhoi's S-21 (originally a 1990s joint project with Gulfstream) and the Tupolev Tu-444. These Russian design studies are regularly paraded as examples of the companies' forward thinking, but their chances of gaining even prototype status without generous outside help appear remote in the extreme. The same might apply to Dassault which, although having publicly withdrawn in March 1999 from the race to build a supersonic Falcon, has not discounted the possibility of an international program to the same end. L'idZe est toujours en vigueur roughly translates as, "We'll get back to you on that".

 

Aerion SSBJ

One of the "class of 2004," the Aerion design was due to begin detailed design this year, to fly in 2008, and enter service around 2011. Target price is $80 million, with a $8 per mile direct operating cost. Passenger capacity is 10, in a 30-foot-long stand-up cabin. A low-risk approach, the Aerion combines a natural laminar flow, carbon fiber wing of trepezoidal planform with two 18,000-pounds-thrust P&W JT8D-219 airliner turbofans in pods at the rear of the aluminum fuselage, allowing it to fly efficiently above or just below Mach 1. The strategy here is that if the current rule prohibiting civil supersonic flight over land is not lifted, the aircraft will still have a business case. In any event, it should be able to achieve boomless flight at 1.1 Mach, thanks to current technology, while increasing to 1.5 Mach cruise over water or other unpopulated areas. NBAA range at the latter speed and up to 51,000 feet will be 4,600 miles, operating from a 6,000-foot runway.

Verdict: Slim chance

Gulfstream SBJ

A 1998 liaison with Lockheed Martin resulted in the partners showing a model of the eight-passenger Quiet Supersonic Jet (QSJ) at the 2000 NBAA Convention. Design goals were the ability to operate out of existing business aviation airfields; takeoff noise compatible with anticipated future regulations; fuel-efficient operation at subsonic speeds; and an initial cruising altitude above that of subsonic traffic. Cruising speed was targeted as between 1.6 and 2.0 Mach over a 4,600-mile range. Lockheed Martin then withdrew, the QSJ having by 2003 become a variable-geometry, T-tail design with a podded engine each side of the fin, 1.8 Mach cruise, and 5,520-mile range. Operating from a minimum 6,500-foot runway, it would offer noise levels 10 EPNdB quieter than Stage 4 and cost up to $80 million per airplane over a production run of 200. NetJets, the fractional operator, would be the most likely customer to place an order large enough to launch the SBJ, but as yet it has not done so.

Verdict: Slim chance

SAI QSST

Supersonic Aerospace International arrived at the 2004 Convention with the only bang it intends to make, offering a different approach to its current rival. The Quiet Small Supersonic Transport combines new engines and patented low-sonic-boom technology at the trade-off of a 10% range penalty during subsonic flight. It is, therefore, banking on regulators relaxing the current rules banning supersonic overflight in response to the much-diminished nuisance of the "quiet" SST generation, which years of study have developed. "Concorde divided by more than 100" is the current claim for supersonic noise, but if "supersonic" remains a public scare-word—like "nuclear"—SAI will be at a clear disadvantage.


Needing two 35,000-pounds-thrust turbofans, the QSST will cost about the same as the Aerion design and carry eight to 12 business travelers. A later, stretched version could accommodate up to 30 high-density passengers. Structure will combine metal and composites. Projected cruising speed is 1.6 to 1.8 Mach at 40,000-60,000 feet over 4,600 miles, using an 8,000-foot runway. SAI studies forecast a world market for 300 to 400 such airplanes over 15 years, including government and special mission applications.

Background work on QSST feasibility has been performed by Lockheed Martin under a $20 million contract. This year, SAI was to start the $50 million Phase 2, bringing aircraft manufacturers together into a design and production consortium. Phase 3 detail design could then start in 2006-07, followed by first flight in 2010-11 and in-service date of 2012.

Verdict: Slim chance

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