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On the Record with

JOHN DOUGLASS, PRESIDENT & CEO, AEROSPACE INDUSTRIES ASSOCIATION

Airshows Will Shrink, But Not Go Away

"We don't want an airshow and we're not going to come if you have one." And that, says John Douglass, helped put the kibosh on recent efforts to establish an American version of Farnborough or Paris in Dayton, Ohio.

A host of other factors are making the big international airshows less important than they were, says the president and CEO of the Washington-based Aerospace Industries Association.

The Internet and cheaper foreign travel are helping make airshows shorter than they were in the past, and while emerging players from countries like India and China may give such events a temporary boost in coming years, the realization that few deals are really done at the shows will minimize their long-term impact.

Pent-up demand from the reduced U.S. participation at Paris 2003 is helping this year's Farnborough, but it will be short-lived, Douglass predicts.

"The market is saturated," he says. "We're cutting back on these shows, reducing our presence across the board."

"The organizers have seen the handwriting, so they've cut back too," Douglass told Show News.

Another factor is the long lead times for airliners, which now have development cycles of 10 to 15 years. "The manufacturers would like to see a less frequent schedule," Douglass says, rather than feel obligated to attend either Paris or Farnborough every year. Consolidation in the industry, with far fewer, albeit larger companies able to participate in the technologically demanding aviation business, hurts the shows too.

The over-riding concern, of course, is money. "The expense has got to be more affordable or the show phenomenon is going to erode more quickly," Douglass says.

He notes that while GIFAS in France and SBAC here make a large portion of their annual operating money at Le Bourget and Farnborough, "We don't really have any incentive as an organization to go to these shows."

Less easy to quantify, but no less real, is the impact of public days, Douglass acknowledges, as the flying spectacles stoke the dreams of the pilots and engineers of tomorrow: "I don't think any of these shows are going to go away," he concedes.

—Rich Piellisch

AIA Makes It Easier

The Aerospace Industries Association may view extravaganzas like Farnborough as a dying breed, but the Washington-based trade group still does its part to help U.S. firms make a showing at the events.

The fruit of AIA's labor, taking a big block of space and then leasing it to smaller companies that might not otherwise be here, may be seen at the 19-booth Aerospace USA Pavilion in Hall 4 near the main doors.

Besides ready-to-use booths, exhibitors get access to a special AIA conference room.

There will also be a reception Tuesday night at the U.S. Embassy in London for AIA exhibitors, affording an opportunity for American exhibitors "to meet high-ranking U.S. military representatives, U.S. visitors to the show, and key regional contacts." Sponsors include BAE Systems North America, Boeing, DRS Technologies, EDO, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon.

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