|
Often seen as a governmental slough of
despond, the ongoing failure to rationalize
U.S. technology export rules continues to
dog transatlantic cooperation efforts.
Ever since switching jurisdiction for compliance
with International Traffic in Arms Regulations
(ITAR) from the Commerce to the State Dept.,
Washington has promised to break the resulting
logjam that requires foreign companies marketing
or using products based on U.S. technologies
to wait for months for requisite export
licenses.
Although U.S. government and industry leaders
insist that measures introduced by the State
Dept. to expedite licenses have improved
the situation, many foreign industry and
government officials, even those from allies
like Canada and Britain, disagree. British
government minister for defense procurement,
Lord Bach, recently complained about the
slow progress, describing many of the U.S.-imposed
constraints on Anglo-American defense-industrial
relations as "absurd" (AW&ST May 12,
p. 28).
London has long been pressing the U.S.
for an ITAR waiver, with the U.K.-U.S. Declaration
of Principles, signed as far back as 2000,
meant to set this in motion.
John Howe, vice chairman of Thales U.K.,
said, "It seems to me in the ITAR waiver
what is actually being asked for is something
quite modest, it is a waiver of ITAR regulations
in relation to unclassified information,
so it ought not to raise any heroic problems
of security classification or national security
at all." BAE chairman, Sir Richard Evans,
recently told the British Parliament's Defense
Committee that the waiver issue was being
broached at the highest level.
The ITAR problem is particularly acute
in the space industry, where satellite operators
and insurers, faced with an epidemic of
serial failures, are demanding increasing
access to manufacturer technical data to
help underwriters better evaluate insured
risks (AW&ST May 20, 2002, p. 47). Failure
to meet these demands could accelerate the
flight of capital from the space insurance
sector and make it impossible to raise sufficient
coverage to meet future growth, insurers
told a gathering of industry representatives
organized last month by Pagnanelli Risk
Solutions.
According to Pierre-Eric Lys, space risk
underwriter at insurance firm AGF, one out
of four geostationary-Earth-orbit spacecraft
launched since 1998 faces power-generation
problems. New claims for past serial failures
have pushed damages for 2001 alone past
the $2-billion mark, and some losses have
yet to be calculated. Launcher failures
have added to industry woes.
Insurers have raised rates to compensate,
but they remain well below the 18% historical
level. Lys indicated that the ratio of cumulative
earnings-to-capacity, a benchmark of industry
profitability, have plummeted from a peak
of 2.3 in 1997 to 1.4 in 2000 and -0.2 in
March of this year.
The result has been a shrinkage of the
space insurance base as underwriters reallocate
capital to other lines of business. A number
of underwriters have left the industry altogether--including
one of the biggest, Rome-based Generali--and
available capacity has shrunk to 700 million
euros ($815.5 million). Actual working capacity
is barely half that, Lys said.
"The ITAR situation varies somewhat depending
on the U.S. contractor involved--better
at Lockheed Martin, worse at Boeing--but
on balance the situation is getting worse,"
said Telesat Canada CEO Larry Boisvert.
An Alcatel Space official asserted that
obtaining basic approval still takes 23
months, and each information exchange after
that requires additional time-consuming
reviews. Added an executive from Swedish
Space Corp.: "Getting clearance for even
the simplest technical information to underwriters
can take 2-4 months."
Alenia Spazio Vice Chairman Giuseppe Viriglio
said that in order to fix the problem, the
U.S. may have to agree to a radical course
change, probably by taking commercial components
off the arms control list altogether, as
some U.S. officials have suggested.

Telesat Canada ensured that its new
Anik F1R satellite, being built by Astrium,
will not be dependent on fickle U.S.
export rules. |
Satellite users said a failure to deal
with the ITAR problem could result in fewer
purchases of U.S. hardware. A case in point:
when Telesat ordered its most recent satellite,
Anik F1R, in February, it went to Astrium--the
first time it had ever bought outside the
U.S.--and ensured that the new spacecraft
would not be dependent on U.S. components.
"Without access to information, it will
be hard to buy U.S.," Boisvert said. The
same approach was echoed by AsiaSat CEO
Peter Jackson: "We won't buy a satellite
if we don't understand the full history
and heritage [of the technology on it],
and it's doubtful we'll have access to [this]
if it's U.S.-built."
|