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There continues to be a very high ratio of talk to action in the
military lift market. For years, countries outside the U.S. and Russia
invested minimal sums in military transports. The Airbus Military Co.
(AMC) A400M was supposed to revolutionize that, providing a European
solution to the requirement, and an incentive for European governments
to invest in a robust lift capability. Unfortunately, this program has
stagnated.
Although the contract to build 196 A400Ms could still materialize, it
depends on a German decision to fund the lion's share of the program.
Following German announcements in early December that the government is
aiming to pare defense expenditures by several billion euros over the
next few years, any A400M money would need to come from other existing
programs (AW&ST Dec. 9, 2002, p. 38).
Now that the German air force will procure 60, not 73, airplanes, the
pricing and terms of the A400M contract will again need to be
reconsidered. This means that the program, which began in 1982 as the
Future International Military Airlifter (FIMA), will have spent 20 years
with almost no progress. Even the selection of the engine has been
reversed, meaning the aircraft's technical progress has moved backward
since the Rolls/Snecma/MTU TP400 was chosen in late 2000.
Meanwhile, there have quite naturally been defectors from this
confusion. In September 2000, the U.K. Royal Air Force agreed to pay
$725 million for the lease of four Boeing C-17s. This was the first
export order for the C-17 and, more importantly, for any Western
strategic transport. The aircraft will satisfy the RAF's Short-Term
Strategic Airlift requirement and were all delivered to the RAF in 2001.
The U.K. decision was undoubtedly a breakthrough in the military
airlifter market, which has always been undersized and overdiscussed.
For once, a country is not just talking, but spending on strategic lift.
However, the U.K. has always been unique in this market--after all, the
U.K. virtually is the only country outside of the U.S. and Russia to
deploy a dedicated military lifter bigger than the C-130 (the RAF bought
12 Shorts Belfasts in the 1950s).
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