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Southwest Suspends Fleet Growth


Jan 22, 2009



 

Southwest, reporting its second straight quarterly loss and seeing post-January "softness" in bookings, said Jan. 22 it will cut its capacity by 4% in 2009 and suspend its fleet growth plans through at least 2010 because of the recession.

It will mark the first time Southwest has ever shrunk its capacity over a full year.

"The economic environment has never been more uncertain, certainly in Southwest Airlines' history, and accordingly we've got to adjust," CEO Gary Kelly said. "Our immediate goals will be to protect: We want to protect our financial health, and we want to protect our profitability."

Southwest lost $56 million in the fourth quarter, following a $120 million third quarter loss that was its first quarterly loss in nearly six years. A lot of that could be attributed to special charges tied to the declining future value of its fuel-hedging portfolio.

Kelly and other Southwest officials emphasized that the airline still turned a profit in the third and fourth quarters of 2008 when special items such as fuel hedging value adjustments were excluded. It has dramatically reduced its fuel hedging exposure for future years, saw fourth quarter revenue rise 9.7% to a record $2.7 billion-- even with a 0.8% increase in capacity--still reported its 36th consecutive year of profitability in 2008 and is hopeful for a 37th in 2009. The airline also has not given up on post-January bookings, noting that it also had early softness for December and January until a surge of close-in bookings gave it actual and expected 7% increases in unit revenue.

"We do very well, comparably, in recessionary times, and I think the fourth quarter is good evidence of that," Kelly said.

Nonetheless, Kelly and CFO Laura Wright said the airline must be cautious. "I don't think any of us are comfortable predicting one way or the other [on bookings]," Kelly said. Wright said February revenue is down 12% year-over-year right now, on 4.4% lower capacity for the first quarter.

Regarding the capacity cuts, Kelly said Southwest would make them without cutting jobs--although some employees might be "redeployed" under the carrier's plans to eliminate unprofitable flights and lower its aircraft utilization.

Regarding aircraft, Kelly said the airline's fleet growth plans have been "suspended indefinitely," but later specified that definitive decisions to have no net gain in its fleet have only been made through 2010. The airline, with 26 new aircraft deliveries, grew its fleet by a net of about 15 aircraft in 2008.

Arranging for no net gain this year and in future years required renegotiating part of its Boeing delivery schedule, and will require retiring or selling aircraft.

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