The McGraw-Hill Companies
Aviation Week
MEMBER CENTER
LOG IN | REGISTER | SUBSCRIBE
Blogs Forums Photos Videos My Aviationweek

Blog Search

Search all Aviation Week.com blog content

Bookmark and Share
Blog Image
A Defense Technology Blog
JSF- Why All The Fuss?

In the Joint Strike Fighter thread here, commenter Solomon asks an important question:

What are the rules to this debate? LM states that the AN/ALR-94 [the BAE Systems EW system on the F-22] is a world beater. Everyone believes it. but LM states that the same package, just more advanced, is installed on the F-35, and everyone says hogwash.

LM and the USAF state that the F-22 is the world's best fighter and everyone believes it. LM and the USAF say that the F-35 will be an excellent low-end complement to the F-22 and no one believes it.

Other nations have stated that the F-35 is exactly what they need to replace legacy airframes. no one believes it and many call those officials puppets, cheerleaders, stupid, naive, whatever and many cheer those responses.

I don't get it. You want affordable stealth - well, here it is. A multi-national program on a huge scale that should make spiral upgrades a cinch, yet no one wants to believe it.

First of all you have to consider what's at stake here. The JSF business plan, if fulfilled, results in a virtual fighter monopoly in the West and its allies. Whoever wins India will have a short lease on life in the business, but otherwise Typhoon, Gripen, Rafale and F-18 are fighting over crumbs and most if not all will exit the market before 2020. Unless you want to buy Russian you will have to buy JSF, and Lockheed Martin will likewise control all upgrades and modifications to the aircraft. This won't leave the customers (the US included) with a lot of negotiating room.

The JSF is unique in the degree of integration in its information systems. So far, for example, it has no open-standard transmit datalink, at least in stealth mode. The automated logistics system will continuously transmit operational information back to Fort Worth. Not only is it a coalition-optimized airplane, it's hard to see how it could be operated at all without direct, constant US support.

Neither of these applied to the F-22, which the US does not want to export - let's be realistic, if the Pentagon and LockMart wanted to sell the bloody thing to Japan, one Wisconsin congressman is not going to stop them.

Moreover, nobody actually claimed that the F-22 was the best fighter in the world. The most capable air-to-air fighter, yes - but too expensive and too limited in air-to-ground to do everything.

But in 2008 alone, we heard that:

  • The JSF will achieve a 4:1 exchange ratio in air combat over any other fighter.
  • The JSF will penetrate to its targets, negate or destroy threatening fighters and missiles, attack and escape without being detected.
  • The JSF will cost less to acquire and operate than the Gripen NG, and by inference any fighter in the world.
  • The JSF is lower-risk than the Gripen NG, despite the fact that the latter combines a simple modification of an in-service airframe with a proven engine.

These are lofty claims and have inspired a relatively well informed force of critics to ask difficult questions. For instance, you may be able to see the adversary first, but given AMRAAM's Pk-at-range limits, will that be enough? You may be stealthy against today's radars, but what about new or modernized systems that are clearly designed to work against low-RCS targets?

Why has the pace of flight-testing been so slow and how do you plan to finish SDD in 2014? Even if the F-35B works, is the rationale for STOVL today worth the cost?

If the US military aircraft enterprise - contractors and government - had a stellar record of delivering what they promise on time and on budget, one might be persuaded to accept their claims. But they don't.

There hasn't (for example) been one successful stealth warplane program since the F-117. The A-12 and Comanche were cancelled outright. The B-2 cost tens of billions to fix and is so costly to operate that efforts to sell more than 21 jets were unsuccessful. The F-22 works, but the current debate over whether to acquire more than 183 jets is driven to a great extent by the startling cost of maintenance and upgrades. JSF itself is already two and a half years behind the original schedule, and further problems are certainly not out of the question at this stage.

If your track record is Ishtar and Howard the Duck, and you tell me that you've got something that beats Gone With The Wind and Star Wars, you are going to have to prove it with more than a PowerPoint, or "trust me, but it's secret."

Tags: ar99jsf
Email this post
User Image
BigRocket wrote:
In summary:
" A certain project is going to experience delays
" The same project is going to experience cost overruns
" The sales force of the project is hyping the product

This phenomenon is not unique to the JSF project, or indeed the defense industry in general.
1/12/2009 1:09 PM CST
User Image
Bill Sweetman wrote:
The level of hype - not brochures, not adverts but throughout all briefings - is unique in my experience.
1/12/2009 1:34 PM CST
User Image
ELP wrote:
It has a long way to go before proof. Given performance of U.S. defense programs and the big fact that a lot of program managers ( who are supposed to be representatives for the taxpayer) go native and hype the (fill in the blank of any program) to silly levels with no proof, I think it is fair to ask for real fact and not sales hype.
1/12/2009 2:43 PM CST
User Image
BigRocket wrote:
According to a certain aviation writer, the sales force of the Eurofighter claimed half the cost, and 90% of the stealth, of the F-22 Raptor. Said aviation writer then analyzed the claim, and concluded it to be very much hype over substance. For example, the 90% stealth only works in favorable conditions for head-on RCS, completely ignoring the highly un-stealthy vertical tail from the side aspect. We can debate the level of hype in the sales campaign of every fighter competing with the JSF, but just because the JSF cannot live up to its hype does not mean it cannot live up to its users' needs.
1/12/2009 3:21 PM CST
User Image
sferrin wrote:
Speaking of hype,

"If your track record is Ishtar and Howard the Duck, and you tell me that you've got something that beats Gone With The Wind and Star Wars"

Are we then to conclude that the 4th generation Eurocanards are the Gone with the Wind and Star Wars to the F-22's and B-2's Ishtar and Howard the Duck? Please.
1/12/2009 6:04 PM CST
User Image
Solomon wrote:
The Rand Corporation has a power point called "Air Combat Past, Present and Future". It studies potential warfare in the Pacific and has a date of August 2008.
http://reporter.kro.nl/downloads/rand_pacific_view.pdf
Since Rand now has a dog in this fight with the USAF having a "think tank" established their Corporation, I don't know how valid their assertions are...but if they're true then not only do we need a full stable of F-22's but also the F-35B (the vulnerability of Kadena AB is shocking...found on slid 10), and F-35A's with several squadrons of upgraded/uprated F-15E's. One thing is sure, the Colonel who got into hot water for his statements concerning the Indian Air Force at Red Flag made a telling statement at the end of his video. A questioner asked about the F-35 and he stated that he would talk about that later. Defense politics is probably keeping us from knowing the real truth about this airplane and its capabilities, but SOMEBODY SOMEWHERE KNOWS BUT AIN'T TALKING! And until they do, we're all just guessing.
1/12/2009 6:28 PM CST
User Image
Bill Sweetman wrote:
BR - Good shot but like an AMRAAM at 40 nm, well outside the no-escape zone. EF did advertise "90 per cent of F-22 effectiveness" - not stealth - for which I criticized them roundly. They're more realistic today.
Sferrin - Analogy is a way of driving the point home.
Solomon - I remarked on that point at the time. One might speculate that the names of Moseley and Wynne might have run through the Colonel's mind when that question was asked...
1/12/2009 7:48 PM CST
User Image
sferrin wrote:
I think "hyperbole" was the word you were looking for ;-) The F-22 and B-2 certainly aren't the dogs you imply. By your rational the Veyron, Maybach, and Land Rover are also dogs while the Yugo, Pinto, and Lada, are the bomb. I think you did touch on the real reason for all the brouhaha regarding the F-35 though.

"The JSF business plan, if fulfilled, results in a virtual fighter monopoly in the West and its allies"

That's the only thing that could account for what is amounting to almost irrational, animal panic on the part of the F-35 detractors.
1/12/2009 8:59 PM CST
User Image
ELP wrote:
I am a JSF detractor until I see real proof and not massive amounts of spin an sophistry to lie at any cost to get a risky program sold. And, I don't really care about Eurotrash inc. aircraft company x y or z. I am more worried about clueless politicians signing on the dotted line after they have been lied to about unproven F-35 prowess.
1/12/2009 10:18 PM CST
User Image
energo wrote:
I agree with the Ishtar simile (how could I not..), but I feel the discussion lacks a point of reference: what are we comparing against? Has any large scale modern fighter programme been on time and on budget? If a multirole fighter for the future is not needed, then what was wrong with this one? http://tinyurl.com/9tq9o7

B. Bolsøy
Oslo
1/13/2009 5:56 AM CST
1 2 3 >> Last
Defense Industry News
Recent Photos
Industry Insight: Defense & Technology Insight by
Raytheon
Selected Videos