I'm going to go out on a limb here and suggest that what U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates unveiled yesterday could be the seeds of President Barack Obama's first veto. It goes like this:
A popular Republican SecDef provides political top-cover for a popular new Democratic President to push Congress to agree to most of the changes. A Democratically led Congress pushes back too hard and upholds too much of the status quo. Obama's administration then gets to paint them as a bunch of lawmakers protecting parochial interests and not sharing in the nation's sacrifice.
Meanwhile, Obama's war-fighting requests remains substantial and seperate, and as it will undoubtedly pass Congress, he can't be accused of abandoning the warfighter in combat. BUT, by vetoing the baseline bill Congress sends him as fiscally unfit, Obama gets to look like the un-Bush early in his presidency, especially against his own party (compared to George W. Bush who didn't rely on the veto until the opposition took over the Capitol). Besides, the public already despises Congress most of any branch of government, and Obama and Gates enjoy popularity second only to the First Lady.
All of this is highly hypothetical, and Washington has a wonderful way of surprising even the most seasoned observer. But right now, I see an Obama veto of a congressional baseline defense bill as the likeliest first significant rejection from this White House.
What do you think?
At any rate, sorry about the rant, but back to that veto thing. Yes, I believe you are right. Congress will try to fund 20 F-22s and that will either draw a veto threat or occasion an actual veto. Despite my username, chosen in the heat of the last election, I am not lock-step with Obama on everything. And one of the areas where I disagree with him is this notion that we fund our military on the basis of best-case scenarios regarding the likes of Russia, China, Iran and N. Korea. He had better be as good as he thinks he is on the diplomatic front because if he's not, he's going to seriously regret having stopped production of a plane every potential adversary rightly fears. Along with his incredibly naive goal of "eliminating" nuclear weapons (yeah, right), it's as if this man didn't learn a thing about MAD, the Cold War and deterrence in general. Like it or not, being armed to the teeth and being vastly superior to your potential enemies PREVENTS wars, it doesn't cause them. (What causes them is idiotic Presidents who pick on weaklings like Iraq to send a "message" to the rest of the region that, well, we are nothing but bullies who only pick on the weak kids in the playground). Why such an evidently brilliant man doesn't seem to get such a simple, yet elegant and effective policy stance like deterrence is beyond me. I fear the Russian and Chinese militaries are laughing themselves silly right about now...
I fear that with Obama, we may have gotten someone with Churchill's intellect but Chamberlain's instincts...
And damn my username. I feel like the idiot who tattoos his girlfriend's name on his arm. Now, anyone know how I can get rid of it???
My prediction is that Obama may accomplish the impossible, unite congressional democrats and republicans against this madness of a budget!
Sometimes at night I shut off my computer and imagine I am Sec of Defense and was given the $787 billion in stimulas to spend on reset and modernization. A guy can dream can't he?
Regarding "warfighter" what is wrong with the ancient english word "warrior?" I've often wondered.
Gates, during post-speech Q&A: "My hope is that, as we have tried to do here in this building, that the members of Congress will rise above parochial interests and consider what is in the best interest of the nation as a whole."