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The International Institute for Strategic Studies' latest report on Iran's nuclear weapons program has some interesting insight into the potential production rate Tehran could muster.While the headline has been that an Iranian nuke is at least two years away, perhaps similarly interesting is the feeling expressed by the folks at Arundel House that it would take a long time to build up an arsenal. Once the first bomb is built "it would take more than seven months to produce each subsequent bomb's worth of highly enriched uranium" using existing infrastructure, the IISS says. The pace could increase if Iran were to field more advanced centrifuges.The IISS says its estimates are based on use of tools at the Natanz enrichment plant and processes used by others to obtain such weapons.The think tank's director general, John Chipman, says "the timescale is significant because the likelihood of detection allows time for a negotiated solution." Of course, it also allows time for Stuxnet 2.0.
ar99, Wellington, Iran
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