AWIN forecasts production of 1,000 regional jets over 2013-17, with Embraer accounting for 57% (90% of them E-Jets), Sukhoi Civil Aircraft 20%, and Bombardier and Comac almost tied with just under 10% each. Of the almost 560 regional turboprop deliveries forecast, ATR will take close to 80%, and Bombardier the rest.
Mitsubishi Aircraft's MRJ 70/90-seat regional jet appears to be attracting interest just as the company finds it cannot deliver the aircraft until late 2015 or early 2016, at least two years behind the original schedule. Mitsubishi is looking at how it can ramp up production faster and reach a higher steady output rate than originally planned. A key issue is finalization of a proposed order for 100 MRJs by U.S. carrier SkyWest, which would like to buy more aircraft.
Embraer meanwhile plans to begin offering its revamped E-Jet 'G2' series early in 2013, with a formal launch of the 78-122-seat family by year-end. Major decisions on systems and engine selections are expected at the start of the year, with the engine choice down to GE's NG34 successor to the CF34 program, CFM's Leap-1 for the larger E190G2/E195G2 versions, or a new two-shaft design from Rolls. As with Boeing's 777X concept, the G2 redesign builds on the existing Embraer fuselage with a new wing and engines, as well as related system improvements. Having studied its options for many years, it seems Embraer's G2 plan is set to accelerate rapidly in 2013. Introduction into service is provisionally scheduled for 2018.
With Leithen Francis in Singapore and Bradley Perrett in Beijing.
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